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La Gestión de Riesgo de Liquidez en Economías Emergentes: Un Modelo Valor-en-Riesgo (VaR) Paramétrico de Calibración Indirecta y una Aplicación al Sistema Financiero Boliviano
[Liquidity Risk Management in Emerging Economies: A Parametric Value-at-Risk (VaR) model with Indirect Calibration and an Application to the Bolivian Financial System]

Author

Listed:
  • Gonzales-Martínez, Rolando

Abstract

Time series of obligations with the public are important to liquidity risk management in emerging economies, but a traditional parametric VaR model could give imprecise measures of liquidity risk if the series do not approach a normal (Gaussian) distribution. To overcome this flaw of parametric gaussian VaR models, this study suggest a parametric VaR model with indirect calibration (VaR-i) with a beta-parameter calibrated to be successful in backtesting tests, according to the empirical distribution of the data and not necessarily to the Gaussian distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonzales-Martínez, Rolando, 2009. "La Gestión de Riesgo de Liquidez en Economías Emergentes: Un Modelo Valor-en-Riesgo (VaR) Paramétrico de Calibración Indirecta y una Aplicación al Sistema Financiero Boliviano [Liquidity Risk Manag," MPRA Paper 14247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14247
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14247/1/MPRA_paper_14247.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    2. Engle, Robert F. & Manganelli, Simone, 2001. "Value at risk models in finance," Working Paper Series 75, European Central Bank.
    3. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    4. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    5. Sean D. Campbell, 2005. "A review of backtesting and backtesting procedures," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-21, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Valor-en-Riesgo; Value-at-Risk; riesgo de liquidez; VaR; medición de riesgos; medidas de riesgo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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