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Does Coarse Thinking Matter for Option Pricing? Evidence from an Experiment

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  • Siddiqi, Hammad

Abstract

Mullainathan et al [Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2008] present a model of coarse thinking or analogy based thinking. The essential idea behind coarse thinking is that people put situations into categories and the values assigned to attributes in a given situation are affected by the values of corresponding attributes in other co-categorized situations. We test this hypothesis in an experiment on financial options against the benchmark of arbitrage-free pricing. Firstly, we test whether a financial option is priced in analogy with its underlying stock (transference). Secondly, we test for whether variations in the analogy between a financial option and its underlying stock matter (framing). We find evidence in support of both transference and framing.

Suggested Citation

  • Siddiqi, Hammad, 2009. "Does Coarse Thinking Matter for Option Pricing? Evidence from an Experiment," MPRA Paper 13515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13515
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Linda Babcock & George Loewenstein, 1997. "Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 109-126, Winter.
    2. Sendhil Mullainathan & Joshua Schwartzstein & Andrei Shleifer, 2008. "Coarse Thinking and Persuasion," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(2), pages 577-619.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:969-998 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Rockenbach, Bettina, 2004. "The behavioral relevance of mental accounting for the pricing of financial options," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 513-527, April.
    5. Linda Babcock & Xianghong Wang & George Loewenstein, 1996. "Choosing the Wrong Pond: Social Comparisons in Negotiations That Reflect a Self-Serving Bias," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(1), pages 1-19.
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    Cited by:

    1. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2013. "Analogy Making in Complete and incomplete Markets: A New Model for Pricing Contingent Claims," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 160608, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    2. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Analogy Based Valuation of Currency Options," MPRA Paper 62333, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Analogy Based Valuation of Currency Options," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 198776, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    4. O'Callaghan, Patrick, 2015. "Minimal conditions for parametric continuity of a utility representation," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 200371, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    5. Hammad, Siddiqi, 2015. "Index Option Returns from an Anchoring Perspective," MPRA Paper 65331, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2011. "Thinking by analogy, systematic risk, and option prices," MPRA Paper 31316, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2014. "The Financial Market Consequences of Growing Awareness: The Case of Implied Volatiltiy Skew," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 162568, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    8. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2013. "Analogy Making In Complete and Incomplete Markets: A New Model for Pricing Contingent Claims," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 156934, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    9. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Relative Risk Perception and the Puzzle of Covered Call Writing," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 199882, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    10. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2014. "Mental Accounting: A New Behavioral Explanation of Covered Call Performance," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 162567, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    11. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2010. "Coarse thinking, implied volatility, and the valuation of call and put options," MPRA Paper 23261, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2014. "Anchoring Heuristic in Option Prices," MPRA Paper 66018, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jul 2015.
    13. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Relative Risk Perception and the Puzzle of Covered Call writing," MPRA Paper 62763, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Explaining the Smile in Currency Options: Is it Anchoring?," MPRA Paper 63528, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Analogy based Valuation of Commodity Options," MPRA Paper 61083, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Coarse Thinking; Financial Options; Arbitrage-Free Pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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