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Прогностическая Оценка Устойчивого Развития Импортозависимых Секторов Экономики Региона В Условиях Внешнего Давления
[Forecast assessment of sustainable development of import-dependent sectors of the regional economy under external pressure]

Author

Listed:
  • Elshin, Leonid
  • Mikhalevich, Polina
  • Mingulov, Almaz

Abstract

The aim of the work is to develop and test methodological approaches to the empirical assessment of the prospects for regional economic dynamics in the context of disruption of supply chains of industry imports. The object of the study is one of the most developed regions of Russia - the Republic of Tatarstan. The main results of the study are the discovered patterns that reveal the features of the sensitivity of regional industrial complexes to restrictions in the supply of goods from abroad in the context of sanctions pressure on the national economy of the Russian Federation and the strengthening of secondary sanctions on friendly countries implementing foreign economic activity with residents of Russia

Suggested Citation

  • Elshin, Leonid & Mikhalevich, Polina & Mingulov, Almaz, 2024. "Прогностическая Оценка Устойчивого Развития Импортозависимых Секторов Экономики Региона В Условиях Внешнего Давления [Forecast assessment of sustainable development of import-dependent sectors of t," MPRA Paper 122707, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:122707
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/122707/1/MPRA_paper_122707.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    sanctions pressure; sustainable economic development; region; import dependence; risks; types of economic activity; economic and mathematical modeling; scenario modeling; forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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