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Measuring uncertainty, transfer entropy and G-causality In Environmental Economics

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  • Halkos, George
  • Kitsos, Christos

Abstract

Human activities have created environmental degradation with the internalization of the resulting externalities having been the main concern for policy makers worldwide. Uncertainty and unconvincing scientific evidence of various biophysical processes are present in many planned environmental policies. An important source of model uncertainty is accounted by entropy with the typical normal distribution being inadequate in such analyses challenging for more sensible approximations. The problems are, from one side the fat tails characteristic in this area and on the other side what probability density function (pdf) to be chosen. The choice of the appropriate probability model describing the phenomenon that is the pdf is a main priority in any decision making planning. Here we pay attention on the entropy and even more on the transfer entropy in Environmental Economics and the existing underlying uncertainty based on the probability theory. We show that the γ-order Generalized Normal distribution covers both requests, due the "International constant" (γ/(γ-1))**(γ/(γ-1)), leading to a number of pdf, and the Logarithm Sobolev Inequalities (LSI), which provide a solid background.

Suggested Citation

  • Halkos, George & Kitsos, Christos, 2024. "Measuring uncertainty, transfer entropy and G-causality In Environmental Economics," MPRA Paper 121764, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121764
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Halkos, George & Kitsos, Christos, 2018. "Mathematics vs. Statistics in tackling Environmental Economics uncertainty," MPRA Paper 85280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. George Halkos, 1994. "Optimal abatement of sulphur emissions in Europe," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 4(2), pages 127-150, April.
    3. George E. Halkos & Epameinondas A. Paizanos, 2017. "The channels of the effect of government expenditure on the environment: evidence using dynamic panel data," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(1), pages 135-157, January.
    4. George E. Halkos, 2013. "Exploring the economy -- environment relationship in the case of sulphur emissions," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 159-177, March.
    5. George E. Halkos & Eleni-Christina Gkampoura, 2021. "Coping with Energy Poverty: Measurements, Drivers, Impacts, and Solutions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-14, May.
    6. Halkos, George & Kitsos, Christos, 2018. "Uncertainty in environmental economics: The problem of entropy and model choice," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 127-140.
    7. George Halkos, 1996. "Incomplete information in the acid rain game," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 23(2), pages 129-148, June.
    8. Halkos, George E., 1993. "Sulphur abatement policy: Implications of cost differentials," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(10), pages 1035-1043, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Uncertainty; Environmental Economics; transfer entropy; G-causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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