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Propuesta de matriz de contabilidad social para México 2022: un análisis estructural postpandemia de los sectores estratégicos, clave, impulsores e independientes
[Proposal for a social accounting matrix for Mexico 2022: a post-pandemic structural analysis of the strategic, key, driver and independent sectors]

Author

Listed:
  • García-Remigio, Carlos Manuel
  • Cardenete-Flores, Manuel Alejandro
  • Venegas-Martínez, Francisco

Abstract

Esta investigación estima la Matriz de Contabilidad Social (MCS) de la economía mexicana para el año 2022, con base en la matriz de 2018, utilizando el método de entropía cruzada. Con la MCS estimada se realiza un análisis multisectorial mediante la clasificación de sectores. Los resultados empíricos obtenidos en la nueva MCS 2022 reflejan una aproximación a la estructura de la economía nacional. El análisis multisectorial muestra un cambio significativo en la estructura económica de los últimos 10 años; particularmente se observan los efectos negativos que generó la crisis sanitaria de Covid-19 en diversas actividades como las manufacturas, el comercio y la agricultura. Además, a partir del análisis multisectorial se infiere que la recuperación de dichas actividades será lenta y sostenida. Por último, se propone un conjunto de recomendaciones en materia de política económica para que México alcance una senda de crecimiento estable. // This research estimates the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of the Mexican economy for 2022 based on the 2018 matrix, using the Cross-Entropy method. The estimated SAM is then used to conduct a multisectoral analysis by classifying sectors. The empirical results obtained in the new 2022 SAM provide an approximation to the structure of the national economy. The multisectoral analysis reveals a significant change in the economic structure over the past 10 years, particularly highlighting the adverse effects of the COVID-19 health crisis on various sectors such as manufacturing, trade, and agriculture. Furthermore, the multisectoral analysis suggests that the recovery of these activities will be gradual and sustained. Lastly, a set of policy recommendations is proposed to set Mexico on a path towards stable economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • García-Remigio, Carlos Manuel & Cardenete-Flores, Manuel Alejandro & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2024. "Propuesta de matriz de contabilidad social para México 2022: un análisis estructural postpandemia de los sectores estratégicos, clave, impulsores e independientes [Proposal for a social accounting ," MPRA Paper 121186, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121186
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/121186/1/MPRA_paper_121186.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Flóres & María del Carmen Delgado López & Gaspar Núñez Rodríguez, 2016. "Análisis estructural de la economía mexicana para el año 2008," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 1-38, May.
    2. López, María del Carmen Delgado & Fonseca-Zendejas, Alejandro Steven, 2023. "Analysis of the intersectoral synchronization of the Mexican economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 225-235.
    3. Garcia-Remigio, Carlos Manuel & Cardenete, Manuel Alejandro & Campoy-Muñoz, Pilar & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2020. "Valoración del impacto de la industria automotriz en la economía mexicana: una aproximación mediante matrices de contabilidad social," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 87(346), pages 437-461, abril-jun.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    matriz de contabilidad social; modelos matemáticos de estimación; entropía cruzada. // social accounting matrix; mathematical estimation models; cross entropy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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