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Estimating illiquid asset class alpha and beta using secondary transaction prices

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  • Godwin, Alexander

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel method for estimating the true economic alpha and market beta of illiquid asset classes using secondary transaction prices. Furthermore, this approach can be used to measure the degree of stale pricing in the reported returns of such asset classes. We apply this methodology to private equity, venture capital, private real estate, and private natural resource asset classes. A significant degree of stale pricing was found with estimates of market beta significantly higher than those obtained using reported returns for all four of the asset classes considered. No asset class exhibited statistically significant positive alpha.

Suggested Citation

  • Godwin, Alexander, 2022. "Estimating illiquid asset class alpha and beta using secondary transaction prices," MPRA Paper 112510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:112510
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arthur Korteweg & Stefan Nagel, 2016. "Risk‐Adjusting the Returns to Venture Capital," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(3), pages 1437-1470, June.
    2. Narasimhan Jegadeesh & Roman Kräussl & Joshua M. Pollet, 2015. "Risk and Expected Returns of Private Equity Investments: Evidence Based on Market Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(12), pages 3269-3302.
    3. Steven N. Kaplan & Antoinette Schoar, 2005. "Private Equity Performance: Returns, Persistence, and Capital Flows," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(4), pages 1791-1823, August.
    4. Brian Boyer & Taylor D. Nadauld & Keith P. Vorkink & Michael S. Weisbach, 2018. "Private Equity Indices Based on Secondary Market Transactions," NBER Working Papers 25207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Joseph L. Pagliari & Kevin A. Scherer & Richard T. Monopoli, 2005. "Public Versus Private Real Estate Equities: A More Refined, Long-Term Comparison," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 147-187, March.
    6. Robinson, David T. & Sensoy, Berk A., 2016. "Cyclicality, performance measurement, and cash flow liquidity in private equity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(3), pages 521-543.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    private equity; venture capital; real estate; natural resources; secondary transactions; alternative investments; illiquid investments; risk; beta; alpha; volatility; stale pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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