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A Comparative Analysis of Worries About a War in the Context of Ukraine-Russia Relations

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  • Tamilina, Larysa

Abstract

This study examines the formation and a consequent mutation of Ukraine-Russia relations from a so-called brotherhood to the status of an open war. Drawn upon the World Values Survey (WVS) data, I juxtapose their populations’ expectations of a war with another country or a civil war. I argue that Ukraine and Russia show significant differences in the key factors defining their people’s worries about a war, and that these differences have increased considerably with the beginning of the military conflict in the East of Ukraine. My analysis demonstrates that the current worries among the Ukrainians largely relate to a war with another country and are closely linked to the issue of building national identity and liberal democracy in Ukraine. In the case of Russia, it is the concern about freedom and security, along with income satisfaction, that strongly predict the expectations of both war types among the local population.

Suggested Citation

  • Tamilina, Larysa, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of Worries About a War in the Context of Ukraine-Russia Relations," MPRA Paper 111587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:111587
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ole Frahm, 2012. "Defining the Nation: National Identity in South Sudanese Media Discourse," Africa Spectrum, Institute of African Affairs, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Hamburg, vol. 47(1), pages 21-49.
    2. John P. Willerton & Gary Goertz & Michael O. Slobodchikoff, 2015. "Mistrust and hegemony: Regional institutional design, the FSU-CIS, and Russia," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 26-52, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ukraine-Russia relations; independence of Ukraine; state-building in Ukraine; national identity; WVS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N40 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • Z00 - Other Special Topics - - General - - - General

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