IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/100681.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Causal linkages between the energy sector and islamic regional indexes: evidence from GCC, EU, US, emerging markets and Asia-pacific

Author

Listed:
  • Malayan, Firoz
  • Masih, Mansur

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Granger-causal relationship between conventional energy sector index and Islamic regional indexes of GCC, EU, U.S., Emerging markets and Asia-pacific. Also, the causality among U.S, China and the energy sector will be studied. The standard time series techniques are employed. The empirical results tend to indicate that there exists a Granger-causality from the GCC to the Islamic regional indexes and the conventional energy sector. The results also show that the U.S has the most leading position followed by the energy sector when taking China into context. Both the generalized variance decompositions and impulse response functions confirm the direction of causality. These findings have important policy implications for the regions and countries concerned. The Islamic regional indexes should monitor the trend of the Islamic GCC region, closely, while taking the conventional energy sector into account. The U.S. and the energy sector still have an influence over the Chinese oil and gas sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Malayan, Firoz & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Causal linkages between the energy sector and islamic regional indexes: evidence from GCC, EU, US, emerging markets and Asia-pacific," MPRA Paper 100681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:100681
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/100681/1/MPRA_paper_100681.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Basher, Syed A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2006. "Oil price risk and emerging stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 224-251, December.
    2. Crompton, Paul & Wu, Yanrui, 2005. "Energy consumption in China: past trends and future directions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 195-208, January.
    3. Arouri Mohamed el hédi & Fouquau Julien, 2009. "On the short-term influence of oil price changes on stock markets in gcc countries: linear and nonlinear analyses," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 795-804.
    4. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Choi, Kyongwook, 2006. "Behavior of GCC stock markets and impacts of US oil and financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 22-44, March.
    5. Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Return and volatility transmission between world oil prices and stock markets of the GCC countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1815-1825, July.
    6. Mansur Masih & Ali Al-Elg & Haider Madani, 2009. "Causality between financial development and economic growth: an application of vector error correction and variance decomposition methods to Saudi Arabia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1691-1699.
    7. Oberndorfer, Ulrich, 2009. "Energy prices, volatility, and the stock market: Evidence from the Eurozone," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5787-5795, December.
    8. Fayyad, Abdallah & Daly, Kevin, 2011. "The impact of oil price shocks on stock market returns: Comparing GCC countries with the UK and USA," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 61-78, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Awartani, Basel & Maghyereh, Aktham Issa, 2013. "Dynamic spillovers between oil and stock markets in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 28-42.
    2. Abid, Ilyes & Goutte, Stéphane & Guesmi, Khaled & Jamali, Ibrahim, 2019. "Transmission of shocks and contagion from U.S. to MENA equity markets: The role of oil and gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Return and volatility transmission between world oil prices and stock markets of the GCC countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1815-1825, July.
    4. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-023 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer, 2016. "On the volatility transmission between oil and stock markets: a comparison of emerging importers and exporters," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 33(1), pages 63-82, April.
    6. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel, 2019. "Measuring persistence of dependence between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 14-33.
    7. Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2013. "The impact of global oil price shocks on the Lebanese stock market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 366-374.
    8. Heni Boubaker & Nadia Sghaier, 2013. "Instability and time," Working Papers 2013-23, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    9. Nouf Bin Ayyaf Al-Mogren, 2020. "The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on Saudi Arabia Stock Market: A Vector Error-Correction Model Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 310-317.
    10. Akoum, Ibrahim & Graham, Michael & Kivihaho, Jarno & Nikkinen, Jussi & Omran, Mohammed, 2012. "Co-movement of oil and stock prices in the GCC region: A wavelet analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 385-394.
    11. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2021. "Volatility transmissions across international oil market, commodity futures and stock markets: Empirical evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Ghoilpour Hassan Fereidouni, 2011. "The Effect of Energy Prices on Iranian Industry Stock Returns," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 32-51, May.
    13. Yen-Hsien Lee & Ting-Huei Liao & Ya-Ling Huang & Tzu-Ling Huang, 2015. "Dynamic Spillovers between Oil and Stock Markets: New Approaches at Spillover Index," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 178-189, April.
    14. Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 85-130, September.
    15. Mohamed El Hédi Arouri & Christophe Rault, 2010. "Les effets des fluctuations du prix du pétrole sur les marchés boursiers dans les pays du Golfe," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 61(5), pages 945-959.
    16. Rizvi, Aun & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Oil price shocks and GCC capital markets: who drives whom?," MPRA Paper 56993, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Bouri, Elie, 2015. "A broadened causality in variance approach to assess the risk dynamics between crude oil prices and the Jordanian stock market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 271-279.
    18. Abid, Ilyes & Guesmi, Khaled & Goutte, Stéphane & Urom, Christian & Chevallier, Julien, 2019. "Commodities risk premia and regional integration in gas-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 267-276.
    19. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2017. "On the dynamic interactions between energy and stock markets under structural shifts: Evidence from Egypt," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 61-74.
    20. Hamdi, Besma & Aloui, Mouna & Alqahtani, Faisal & Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "Relationship between the oil price volatility and sectoral stock markets in oil-exporting economies: Evidence from wavelet nonlinear denoised based quantile and Granger-causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 536-552.
    21. Berna Aydoğan & Gökçe Tunç & Tezer Yelkenci, 2017. "The impact of oil price volatility on net-oil exporter and importer countries’ stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 7(2), pages 231-253, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Islamic regional indexes; energy sector; Asia-pacific; Granger-causality; VECM; VDC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:100681. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.