IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/phd/dpaper/dp_2023-19.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

What Drives Female Fertility in the Philippines? Evidence from 50 Years of National Demographic and Health Surveys

Author

Listed:
  • Estopace, Katha Ma-i M.
  • Abrigo, Michael R.M.

Abstract

The drivers of the Philippines’ fertility decline over the last fifty years, resulting in a below-replacement 1.9 total fertility rate in 2022, are traced in this study. By employing a modified Kitagawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition on the collective experiences of approximately 65,000 married women across six rounds of the Philippine National Demographic (and Health) Survey, it is demonstrated that the most effective contraceptives might not necessarily be linked to delaying marriage or increasing modern contraceptive use. Analyses indicate that the primary driver behind the country’s fertility decline in the last fifty years is the enhancement of material measures of well-being, with marriage and contraceptive usage playing secondary roles. While raising female fertility may be possible, this will not likely go significantly above replacement levels. Population aging is an imminent reality for the Philippines. Comments to this paper are welcome within 60 days from the date of posting. Email publications@pids.gov.ph.

Suggested Citation

  • Estopace, Katha Ma-i M. & Abrigo, Michael R.M., 2023. "What Drives Female Fertility in the Philippines? Evidence from 50 Years of National Demographic and Health Surveys," Discussion Papers DP 2023-19, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:phd:dpaper:dp_2023-19
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.62986/dp2023.19
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.pids.gov.ph/publication/discussion-papers/what-drives-female-fertility-in-the-philippines-evidence-from-50-years-of-national-demographic-and-health-surveys
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.62986/dp2023.19?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    fertility; population; decomposition; Philippines;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:phd:dpaper:dp_2023-19. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Aniceto Orbeta (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pidgvph.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.