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Cointegration of Interdependencies Among Capital Markets of Chosen Visegrad Countries and Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Marcin Faldzinski

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University, Poland)

  • Adam P. Balcerzak

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University, Poland)

  • Tomas Meluzin

    (Brno University of Technology, Czech Republic)

  • Michal Bernard Pietrzak

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University, Poland)

  • Marek Zinecker

    (Brno University of Technology)

Abstract

Identification of linkages among capital markets is crucial for forming policies that take into account risk associated with international financial markets in-terdependencies. Thus, the aim of the article is to analyse interdependencies among capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary. The research hypothesis was given as follows: There is a similar course and changes in the inter-dependencies among capital markets of Germany and the markets of the mentioned countries of the Visegrad Group. In the research a DCC-GARCH model was applied. The model allowed to estimate conditional correlations that indicate strength of the interrelationship among the markets. Then, the cointegration analysis of the conditional correlations was conducted. The proposed econometric procedure allowed to verify the research hypothesis. It confirmed that the capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary are characterised with similar long-term path. Additionally, the research showed that changes in the direction and strength of the interrelationships among the studied markets are determined by the German capital market in the long-term, which is a leader in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcin Faldzinski & Adam P. Balcerzak & Tomas Meluzin & Michal Bernard Pietrzak & Marek Zinecker, 2016. "Cointegration of Interdependencies Among Capital Markets of Chosen Visegrad Countries and Germany," Working Papers 21/2016, Institute of Economic Research, revised May 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:pes:wpaper:2016:no21
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    Cited by:

    1. Tomas Meluzin & Marek Zinecker, 2016. "Trends In Ipos: The Evidence From Cee Capital Markets," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(2), pages 327-341, June.
    2. Máté Csiki & Gábor Dávid Kiss, 2018. "Capital Market Contagion in the Stock Markets of Visegrád Countries Based on the Heckman Selection Model," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(4), pages 23-52.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration of interdependencies among capital markets; conditional correlation; DCC-GARCH model; conditional variance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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