IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pai/wpaper/06-03.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Discount Rates in Emerging Capital Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Mongrut

    (Universidad del Pacífico)

  • Dídac Ramírez

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

Abstract

La estimación de la tasa de descuento para un proyecto de inversión se basa en dos supuestos: la existencia de un mercado completo y de inversionistas bien diversificados (BD). Si bien ambos supuestos son aceptables en mercados desarrollados, no son apropiados en mercados emergentes. En mercados emergentes no hay suficientes títulos gemelos para obtener un único factor de descuento estocástico y por lo tanto un solo valor de mercado para el proyecto que se evalúa. Además usualmente los inversionistas no se encuentran bien diversificados y no suelen utilizar mecanismos como el préstamo de acciones y las ventas a corto para realizar sus transacciones. En este trabajo se derivan dos expresiones matemáticas para estimar la tasa de descuento utilizando la ecuación fundamental de valoración en dos situaciones extremas: cuando los inversionistas poseen un portafolio de inversiones bien diversificado y cuando no se encuentran diversificados. A pesar de que ambas situaciones se aplican también a mercados desarrollados, son particularmente importante en mercados emergentes; mientras que la mayoría de empresas que operan en estos mercados involucran empresarios no diversificados; mientras que en el caso de inversionistas no diversificados es necesario utilizar una tasa de descuento que refleje el riesgo total del proyecto, la recompensa por riesgo (reward-tovariability) y el nivel de aversión al riesgo del empresario.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Mongrut & Dídac Ramírez, 2006. "Discount Rates in Emerging Capital Markets," Working Papers 06-03, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    • Handle: RePEc:pai:wpaper:06-03
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repositorio.up.edu.pe/bitstream/handle/11354/292/DD0603.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
    File Function: Application/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Estrada, Javier, 2002. "Systematic risk in emerging markets: the," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 365-379, December.
    2. Gordon M. Bodnar & Bernard Dumas & Richard D. Marston, 2003. "Cross-Border Valuation: The International Cost of Equity Capital," NBER Working Papers 10115, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. John Y. Campbell, 2000. "Asset Pricing at the Millennium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1515-1567, August.
    4. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R, 1995. "Time-Varying World Market Integration," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 403-444, June.
    5. Stephen Godfrey & Ramon Espinosa, 1996. "A Practical Approach To Calculating Costs Of Equity For Investments In Emerging Markets," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 9(3), pages 80-90, September.
    6. Mas-Colell, Andreu & Whinston, Michael D. & Green, Jerry R., 1995. "Microeconomic Theory," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195102680.
    7. Rene M. Stulz, 1999. "Globalization of Equity Markets and the Cost of Capital," NBER Working Papers 7021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Ľuboš Pástor & Robert F. Stambaugh, 1999. "Costs of Equity Capital and Model Mispricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 67-121, February.
    9. Pereiro, Luis E., 2001. "The valuation of closely-held companies in Latin America," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 330-370, December.
    10. Myers, Stewart C., 1968. "A Time-State-Preference Model of Security Valuation*," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(1), pages 1-33, March.
    11. Donald R. Lessard, 1996. "Incorporating Country Risk In The Valuation Of Offshore Projects," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 9(3), pages 52-63, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fuenzalida, Darcy & Mongrut, Samuel, 2010. "Estimation Of Discount Rates In Latin America: Empirical Evidence And Challenges," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 15(28), pages 7-43.
    2. Roggi, Oliviero & Giannozzi, Alessandro & Baglioni, Tommaso, 2017. "Valuing emerging markets companies: New approaches to determine the effective exposure to country risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 553-567.
    3. Konrad Farrugia & Kyle Bonello & Peter J. Baldacchino, 2019. "Corporate Valuation Models Applicable in a Small Stock Market: A Maltese Perspective," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 9(1-2), pages 21-47.
    4. Samuel Mongrut Montalván, 2016. "Discount Rates for Seed Capital Investments," Working Papers 16-01, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samuel Mongrut Montalván & Didac Ramírez Sarrió, 2005. "Discount Rates in Emerging Capital Markets," Finance 0501013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Roggi, Oliviero & Giannozzi, Alessandro & Baglioni, Tommaso, 2017. "Valuing emerging markets companies: New approaches to determine the effective exposure to country risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 553-567.
    3. Warnes, Ignacio & Warnes, Pablo E., 2014. "Country risk and the cost of equity in emerging markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 15-27.
    4. Estrada, Javier & Serra, Ana Paula, 2005. "Risk and return in emerging markets: Family matters," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 257-272, July.
    5. Fuenzalida, Darcy & Mongrut, Samuel, 2010. "Estimation Of Discount Rates In Latin America: Empirical Evidence And Challenges," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 15(28), pages 7-43.
    6. Mishra, Dev R. & O'Brien, Thomas J., 2005. "Risk and ex ante cost of equity estimates of emerging market firms," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 107-120, June.
    7. Pereiro, Luis E., 2006. "The practice of investment valuation in emerging markets: Evidence from Argentina," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 160-183, April.
    8. Hwang, Soosung & Pedersen, Christian S., 2004. "Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 109-128, March.
    9. Javier García‐Sánchez & Lorenzo Preve & Virginia Sarria‐Allende, 2010. "Valuation in Emerging Markets: A Simulation Approach," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 22(2), pages 100-108, April.
    10. Samuel Mongrut & Mauricio Fuenzalida & Samuel Nash & Juan Tapia, 2006. "Tender Offers in South America: Do they Convey Good News to the Market?," Working Papers 06-04, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    11. Martinelli, Gabrielli do Carmo & Schlindwein, Madalena Maria & Padovan, Milton Parron & Gimenes, Régio Marcio Toesca, 2019. "Decreasing uncertainties and reversing paradigms on the economic performance of agroforestry systems in Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 274-286.
    12. Estrada, Javier, 2003. "Cost of equity of Internet stocks: A downside risk approach, The," IESE Research Papers D/491, IESE Business School.
    13. Barr, David G. & Priestley, Richard, 2004. "Expected returns, risk and the integration of international bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 71-97, February.
    14. Geert Bekaert & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Arnaud Mehl, 2014. "The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2597-2649, December.
    15. Bekaert, Geert & Mehl, Arnaud, 2019. "On the global financial market integration “swoosh” and the trilemma," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 227-245.
    16. Thorsten Hens & Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppé & Martin Stalder, 2002. "An Application of Evolutionary Finance to Firms Listed in the Swiss Market Index," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 138(IV), pages 465-487, December.
    17. Anusha Chari & Peter Blair Henry, 2001. "Stock Market Liberalizations and the Repricing of Systematic Risk," NBER Working Papers 8265, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Ian Domowitz & Jack Glen & Ananth Madhavan, 2001. "Liquidity, Volatility and Equity Trading Costs Across Countries and Over Time," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(2), pages 221-255.
    19. Tai, Chu-Sheng, 2007. "Market integration and contagion: Evidence from Asian emerging stock and foreign exchange markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 264-283, December.
    20. Ramazan Genay & Faruk Seļuk & Brandon Whitcher, 2003. "Systematic risk and timescales," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 108-116.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pai:wpaper:06-03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Giit (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deiuppe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.