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How Do Credit Supply Conditions Affect the Labor Market? Estimating a New-Keynesian DSGE Model with Labor and Credit Market Frictions

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  • Fedrico Torrachi

Abstract

I examine the impact of credit supply conditions on the labor market via a bank credit channel. Using a Bayesian likelihood approach with US data, I build and estimate a New-Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that incorporates a labor market with search frictions and a banking sector subject to moral hazard. Including a banking sector improves the empirical fit with the data. Financial frictions amplify the response of TFP shocks and add persistence to exogenous disturbances. Financial intermediaries’ net worth plays a crucial role in the transmission of aggregate shocks. The banking sector is also a crucial source of business cycle fluctuations. Shocks to the net worth of the banking sector drive the volatility of labor market tightness, the unemployment rate, and the vacancy stock.

Suggested Citation

  • Fedrico Torrachi, 2017. "How Do Credit Supply Conditions Affect the Labor Market? Estimating a New-Keynesian DSGE Model with Labor and Credit Market Frictions," Economics Series Working Papers 817, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:817
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Intermediation; Banking Sector; Labor Market Frictions; DSGE; Bayesian Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General

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