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Implementable Fiscal Rules for an Oil-Exporting Small Open Economy Facing Depletion

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  • Anamaría Pieschacón

Abstract

In this paper I compute implementable .scal rules for a small open economy whose treasury is dependent on oil revenues and whose oil sector is shrinking. I model production in the oil and non oil sector and I analyze the e¤ects of implementing different sustainable fiscal rules in the context of a deteriorating oil sector. I assess the policy's performance in terms of conditional and unconditional welfare. I show that rules that finance government purchases with structural revenue are preferred only if government purchases do not enter the utility function. Otherwise, when government purchases are complements with private consumption, depletion makes rules that finance government purchases with current revenue more attractive. Furthermore, the lower the sustainable level of oil extraction, the harder it is to reject a rule that finances government purchases with current oil revenue.

Suggested Citation

  • Anamaría Pieschacón, 2009. "Implementable Fiscal Rules for an Oil-Exporting Small Open Economy Facing Depletion," OxCarre Working Papers 019, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. El Anshasy, Amany A. & Bradley, Michael D., 2012. "Oil prices and the fiscal policy response in oil-exporting countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 605-620.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil depletion; Â…scal rules;

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)
    • Q38 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy (includes OPEC Policy)
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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