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Um estudo das Séries Temporais dos principais indicadores inflacionários brasileiros e seus reflexos na performance do índice Ibovespa

Author

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  • Camargo, Daniel
  • DA SILVA MOURA, RAYANE FRANCISCA

Abstract

A pandemia do COVID-19 está infligindo perdas humanas em todo o globo e as medidas de proteção necessárias estão impactando as diversas atividades econômicas. O Brasil está enfrentando o maior colapso sanitário e hospitalar da história do país e por conta disso, o ano de 2020 ficou marcado pelos impactos resultantes do coronavírus no mercado financeiro como um todo. O objetivo da pesquisa consiste em investigar através das séries temporais os principais indicadores inflacionários brasileiros e seus reflexos na performance do índice Ibovespa para o período de 2010 a 2020. Por meio do modelo ARIMA, foram elaborados alguns gráficos para avaliar como as variáveis irão se comportar no ano de 2023. Há a possibilidade da bolsa de valores subir, mediante a vacinação contra a COVID-19 e a possível recuperação da economia. Além disso, a menor atratividade da bolsa nem sempre será justificada por juros mais altos.

Suggested Citation

  • Camargo, Daniel & DA SILVA MOURA, RAYANE FRANCISCA, 2022. "Um estudo das Séries Temporais dos principais indicadores inflacionários brasileiros e seus reflexos na performance do índice Ibovespa," SocArXiv x5w9v_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:x5w9v_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/x5w9v_v1
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