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The Impact Of Voice And Accountability In The Esg Framework In A Global Perspective

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  • Costantiello, Alberto
  • Leogrande, Angelo

Abstract

We estimate the value of Voice and Accountability-VA in the context of the Environmental, Social and Governance-ESG data of the World Bank using data from 193 countries in the period 2011-2021. We use Panel Data with Fixed Effects, Panel Data with Random Effects and Pooled Ordinary Least Squares-OLS. We found that the level of VA is positively associated, among others, to “Maximum 5-Day Rainfall”, and “Mortality Rate Under 5” and negatively associated, among others, to “Adjusted Savings: Natural Resources Depletion”, and “Annualized Average Growth Rate in Per Capita Real Survey Mean Consumption or Income”. Furthermore, we apply the k-Means algorithm optimized with the Elbow Method. We found the k-Means useless due to the low variance of the variable among countries with the result of a hyper-concentration of elements in a unique cluster. Finally, we confront eight machine-learning algorithms for the prediction of VA. Polynomial Regression is the best predictive algorithm according to R-Squared, MAE, MSE and RMSE. The level of VA is expected to growth on average of 2.92% for the treated countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2024. "The Impact Of Voice And Accountability In The Esg Framework In A Global Perspective," SocArXiv ke8f7_v1, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:ke8f7_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/ke8f7_v1
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