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Smart Estimation Ver-H.1.0

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  • Haryadi, Sigit

    (Institut Teknologi Bandung)

Abstract

We cannot be sure exactly what will happen, we can only estimate by using a particular method, where each method must have the formula to create a regression equation and a formula to calculate the confidence level of the estimated value. This paper conveys a method of estimating the future values, in which the formula for creating a regression equation is based on the assumption that the future value will depend on the difference of the past values divided by a weight factor which corresponding to the time span to the present, and the formula for calculating the level of confidence is to use "the Haryadi Index". The advantage of this method is to remain accurate regardless of the sample size and may ignore the past value that is considered irrelevant.

Suggested Citation

  • Haryadi, Sigit, 2018. "Smart Estimation Ver-H.1.0," INA-Rxiv 2tyqk_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:inarxi:2tyqk_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/2tyqk_v1
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