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Correcting US Imbalances

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  • Ray Barrell
  • Dawn Holland
  • Dr Ian Hurst

Abstract

The US current account deficit is in excess of 6 per cent of GDP, and is leading to an accumulation of debts. We use NiGEM to evaluate the causes of the decline, and suggest that domestic absorption in the US has increased markedly. Nominal realignments and monetary expansions elsewhere are shown to be only short term palliatives. A sustained change in the current account must come either from a real realignment associated with a rise in risk premia on US assets or from a change in domestic absorption in the US and elsewhere. Any adjustment must be associated with a significant change in eth US real exchange rate to induce expenditure switching as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland & Dr Ian Hurst, 2007. "Correcting US Imbalances," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 290, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:290
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    1. repec:bfr:quarte:2014:38:02 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. John Williamson, 2009. "Exchange Rate Economics," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 123-146, February.
    3. Dibooglu, Sel & Kapounek, Svatopluk, 2021. "The US current account, sustainability, and the international monetary system," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(4).
    4. Das, Dilip K., 2009. "The evolution of renminbi yuan and the protracted debate on its undervaluation: An integrated review," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 570-579, September.
    5. Rivaud, S., 2015. "Impacts macroéconomiques internationaux des réformes structurelles," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 200, pages 91-105.

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