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Panel Estimation of the Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Investment in the Major Industrial Countries

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  • Professor E. Philip Davis
  • Joseph Byrne

Abstract

We estimate the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on investment, using panel estimation featuring a decomposition of exchange rate volatility derived from the components GARCH model of Engle and Lee (1999). For a poolable subsample of EU countries, it is the transitory and not the permanent component of volatility which adversely affects investment, implying high frequency shocks of the type that may be generated by volatile short term capital flows are most deleterious for investment. Results based on EGARCH also suggest that the response of investment to exchange rate uncertainty may depend partly on the sign of the initial shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Professor E. Philip Davis & Joseph Byrne, 2003. "Panel Estimation of the Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Investment in the Major Industrial Countries," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 208, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:208
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    Cited by:

    1. Osinubi, T. S. & Amaghionyeodiwe, L. A, 2009. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(2).

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