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Interest Rate Transmission in a Dollarized Economy: the Case of Serbia

Author

Listed:
  • Milan Aleksic

    (National Bank of Serbia)

  • Ljiljana Djurdjevic

    (National Bank of Serbia)

  • Mirjana Palic

    (National Bank of Serbia)

  • Nikola Tasic

    (National Bank of Serbia)

Abstract

This paper investigates the efficiency of monetary policy in Serbia, ? highly dollarized economy. Results suggest that the interest rate channel is shaded, and that it is dependent on the degree of dollarization. Interest rate movements are primarily determined by the movement of interest rates in the Euro zone. The impact the 2W repo rate of NBS on the lending interest rates becomes significant only after we control for the level of dollarization. The pass-through of 2W repo rate to interest rates is observed only when the dollarization falls below 64.5%. Maximum potential pass-through of 2W repo rate to interest rates (achieved at zero dollarization) is between 0.169 and 0.820, depending on the model specification.

Suggested Citation

  • Milan Aleksic & Ljiljana Djurdjevic & Mirjana Palic & Nikola Tasic, 2008. "Interest Rate Transmission in a Dollarized Economy: the Case of Serbia," Working papers 15, National Bank of Serbia.
    • Handle: RePEc:nsb:wppnbs:15
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rates; transmission mechanism; dollarization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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