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Analyzing the Dynamic Relationship between Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and Economic Growth in India

Author

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  • Mohanty, Ranjan Kumar

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

  • Bhanumurthy, N.R.

    (National Institute of Public Finance and Policy)

Abstract

The paper investigates dynamic relationship between physical infrastructure, financial development and economic growth in the case of India, using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Toda-Yamamoto (T-Y) causality approach for the period 1980 to 2016. Physical infrastructure index and financial development index are con-structed using Principal Component Analysis method. Empirical results suggest that physical infrastructure has a positive effect on economic growth both in the long-run and short-run, whereas financial development, though significant, has a weak impact on eco-nomic growth. The causality test supports a bi-directional causal relationship between infrastructure development and economic growth, while it finds a unidirectional causa-tion running from economic growth to financial development. It also finds that gross in-vestment and employment have a positive, and inflation has an adverse effect on eco-nomic growth. As India is aiming for higher growth for a sustained period, our results suggest that there is a need for Government intervention in expanding the physical infra-structure and this, in turn, could lead to the growth of the financial sector in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohanty, Ranjan Kumar & Bhanumurthy, N.R., 2018. "Analyzing the Dynamic Relationship between Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and Economic Growth in India," Working Papers 18/245, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:npf:wpaper:18/245
    Note: Working Paper 245, 2018
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    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Haiyan & Zhao, Pengjun & Hu, Haoyu & Zeng, Liangen & Wu, Kai Sheng & Lv, Di, 2022. "Transport infrastructure and urban-rural income disparity: A municipal-level analysis in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    2. Hung, Ngo Thai, 2023. "Green investment, financial development, digitalization and economic sustainability in Vietnam: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression and wavelet coherence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PB).
    3. Faroque Ahmed & Md. Jamal Hossain & Mohammad Tareque, 2020. "Investigating the Roles of Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and Human Capital on Economic Growth in Bangladesh," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 12(2), pages 154-175, December.
    4. Ichiro Iwasaki & Shigeki Ono, 2024. "Economic development and the finance–growth nexus: a meta-analytic approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(57), pages 8021-8038, December.
    5. Tingting Yu & Ah Rong & Feilong Hao, 2022. "Avoiding the middle‐income trap: The spatial–temporal effects of human capital on regional economic growth in Northeast China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 536-558, June.
    6. Ila Patnaik & Shalini Mittal & Radhika Pandey, 2019. "Examining the Trade-Off Between Price and Financial Stability in India," Working Papers id:12979, eSocialSciences.
    7. Datta, Pratik, 2018. "Value Destruction and Wealth Transfer under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016," Working Papers 18/247, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    8. Chengshuang Sun & Shijie Li & Qianmai Luo & Jinyu Zhao & Zhenqiang Qi, 2023. "Research on the Efficiency of Urban Infrastructure Investment under the Constraint of Carbon Emissions, Taking Provincial Capitals in China as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-21, June.
    9. IWASAKI, Ichiro & ONO, Shigeki, 2023. "Economic Development and the Finance-Growth Nexus : A Meta-Analytic Approach," CEI Working Paper Series 2023-06, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    10. Ignas Lukosevicius, 2020. "European Union Transport Infrastructure: Roads and Railways Subsectors Case," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 8(4), pages 305-318.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Infrastructure Index ; Financial Development Index ; Economic Growth ; ARDL Approach ; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H40 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - General
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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