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Does China overinvest? Evidence from a panel of Chinese firms

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  • Sai Ding
  • Alessandra Guariglia
  • John Knight

Abstract

This paper uses a dataset of more than 100,000 firms over the period of 2000-07 to assess whether and why Chinese firms overinvest. We find that corporate investment in China has become increasingly efficient over time, which suggests that overinvestment has been declining. However, within all ownership categories, we find evidence indicating a degree of overinvestment by firms that invest more than the industry median. The free cash flow hypothesis provides a good explanation for China’s overinvestment in the collective and private sectors, whereas in the state sector, overinvestment is attributable to the poor screening and monitoring of enterprises by banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Sai Ding & Alessandra Guariglia & John Knight, 2012. "Does China overinvest? Evidence from a panel of Chinese firms," Discussion Papers 12/04, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    • Handle: RePEc:not:notgep:12/04
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Overinvestment; Investment efficiency; Free cash flow; Leverage; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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