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How far is gas from becoming a global commodity?

Author

Listed:
  • Luís Aguiar-Conraria

    (NIPE and Economics Department, University of Minho)

  • Gilmar Conceição

    (Faculdade de Economia e Gestão da Universidade Licungo)

  • Maria Joana Soares

    (NIPE and Department of Mathematics, University of Minho)

Abstract

While we can say that there is a global market for crude oil, we cannot say the same cannot for natural gas. There is a strand of literature that argues that, in the last decades, gas markets have become less regional and more global. We use wavelets to test this hypothesis and conclude otherwise: although the European and Japanese gas markets are signifcantly synchronized, they are much less than the oil markets, which we take as the benchmark. We also show that the North American gas market fluctuations are independent of the other gas markets. Finally, we show that the existing synchronization between gas markets almost vanishes once one filters out the effect of oil price variations, suggesting that it is the global oil market that connects the regional gas markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Gilmar Conceição & Maria Joana Soares, 2021. "How far is gas from becoming a global commodity?," NIPE Working Papers 06/2021, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
  • Handle: RePEc:nip:nipewp:6/2021
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gas markets; Oil market; Wavelet Power Spectrum; Wavelet Coherency; Wavelet Phase-Difference;
    All these keywords.

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