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Macro-Financial Implications of the Surging Global Demand (and Supply) of International Reserves

Author

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  • Enrique G. Mendoza
  • Vincenzo Quadrini

Abstract

Research has shown that the unilateral accumulation of international reserves by a country can improve its own macro-financial stability. However, we show that when many countries accumulate reserves, the induced general equilibrium effects weaken financial and macroeconomic stability, especially for countries that do not accumulate reserves. The issuance of public debt by advanced economies has the opposite effect. We derive these results from a two-region model where private defaultable debt has a productive use. Quantitative counterfactuals show that the surge in reserves (public debt) contributed to reduce (increase) world interest rates but also to increase (reduce) private leverage. This in turn increased (decreased) volatility in both emerging and advanced economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique G. Mendoza & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2024. "Macro-Financial Implications of the Surging Global Demand (and Supply) of International Reserves," NBER Working Papers 32810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32810
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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