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Generative AI and Firm Values

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea L. Eisfeldt
  • Gregor Schubert
  • Miao Ben Zhang

Abstract

What are the effects of recent advances in Generative AI on the value of firms? Our study offers a quantitative answer to this question for U.S. publicly traded companies based on the exposures of their workforce to Generative AI. Our novel firm-level measure of workforce exposure to Generative AI is validated by data from earnings calls, and has intuitive relationships with firm and industry-level characteristics. Using Artificial Minus Human portfolios that are long firms with higher exposures and short firms with lower exposures, we show that higher-exposure firms earned excess returns that are 0.4% higher on a daily basis than returns of firms with lower exposures following the release of ChatGPT. Although this release was generally received by investors as good news for more exposed firms, there is wide variation across and within industries, consistent with the substantive disruptive potential of Generative AI technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Gregor Schubert & Miao Ben Zhang, 2023. "Generative AI and Firm Values," NBER Working Papers 31222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31222
    Note: AP CF EFG
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    Cited by:

    1. Samir Huseynov, 2023. "ChatGPT and the Labor Market: Unraveling the Effect of AI Discussions on Students' Earnings Expectations," Papers 2305.11900, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. Wenkai Zhou & Chi Zhang & Linwan Wu & Meghana Shashidhar, 2023. "ChatGPT and marketing: Analyzing public discourse in early Twitter posts," Journal of Marketing Analytics, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(4), pages 693-706, December.
    3. Rajaram, Kumaran & Tinguely, Patrick Nicolas, 2024. "Generative artificial intelligence in small and medium enterprises: Navigating its promises and challenges," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 67(5), pages 629-648.
    4. Claudia Biancotti & Carolina Camassa, 2023. "Loquacity and visible emotion: ChatGPT as a policy advisor," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 814, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Ozge Demirci & Jonas Hannane & Xinrong Zhu, 2024. "Who Is AI Replacing? The Impact of Generative AI on Online Freelancing Platforms," CESifo Working Paper Series 11276, CESifo.
    6. Alex Kim & Maximilian Muhn & Valeri Nikolaev, 2023. "From Transcripts to Insights: Uncovering Corporate Risks Using Generative AI," Papers 2310.17721, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General

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