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Interest Rate Cuts vs. Stimulus Payments: An Equivalence Result

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  • Christian K. Wolf

Abstract

In a textbook New Keynesian model extended to allow for uninsurable household income risk, any path of inflation and output implementable via interest rate policy is similarly implementable through uniform lump-sum transfers ("stimulus checks"). A dual-mandate policymaker can thus use checks to perfectly substitute for conventional monetary policy when rates are constrained by a lower bound. In a quantitative heterogeneous-agent (HANK) model, the stimulus check policy that implements a given monetary allocation is well-characterized by a small number of measurable sufficient statistics. In the household cross-section, the transfer policy is associated with lower consumption inequality than the equivalent rate cut.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Interest Rate Cuts vs. Stimulus Payments: An Equivalence Result," NBER Working Papers 29193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29193
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    Cited by:

    1. Bilbiie, Florin O. & Monacelli, Tommaso & Perotti, Roberto, 2024. "Stabilization vs. Redistribution: The optimal monetary–fiscal mix," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    2. Rodolfo G. Campos & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Galo Nuño Barrau & Peter Paz, 2024. "Navigating by falling stars: monetary policy with fiscally driven natural rates," BIS Working Papers 1172, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Juan Herreño & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2022. "The Geographic Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 22-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    4. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gomez-Rodriguez & Christian Matthes, 2023. "The Influence of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on the Shape of the Yield Curve," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-008 Classification-E, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    5. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Cristina Arellano, 2024. "Micro Risks and (Robust) Pareto-Improving Policies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(11), pages 3669-3713, November.
    6. Kopiec, Paweł, 2024. "Monetary-Fiscal Forward Guidance," MPRA Paper 120563, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Jing Cynthia Wu & Yinxi Xie, 2022. "(Un)Conventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 30706, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Bianchi-Vimercati, Riccardo & Eichenbaum, Martin & Guerreiro, Joao, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus with imperfect expectations: Spending vs. tax policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    9. Hannah Magdalena Seidl & Fabian Seyrich, 2021. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy in HANK," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1953, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    10. Kocherlakota, Narayana R., 2022. "Stabilization with fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 1-14.
    11. Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke & Gernot J Müller, 2023. "The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How Large is the Transfer Multiplier," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(652), pages 1318-1347.
    12. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Cristina Arellano, 2022. "Micro Risks and Pareto Improving Policies," Working Papers 2022-10, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    13. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2023. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Discussion Papers 2311, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Alisdair McKay & Christian K. Wolf, 2023. "What Can Time‐Series Regressions Tell Us About Policy Counterfactuals?," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(5), pages 1695-1725, September.
    15. George‐Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian & Christian K. Wolf, 2024. "Can Deficits Finance Themselves?," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(5), pages 1351-1390, September.
    16. Stefano Maria Corbellini, 2022. "Optimal monetary and transfer policy in a liquidity trap," Diskussionsschriften dp2216, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    17. Oliver Pfäuti & Fabian Seyrich, 2022. "A Behavioral Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian Model," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2022_334, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    18. Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan, 2023. "Analyzing Linear DSGE models: the Method of Undetermined Markov States," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    19. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Cristina Arellano, 2022. "Micro Risks and Pareto Improving Policies," Working Papers 2022-16, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    20. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Cristina Arellano, 2021. "Micro Risks and Pareto Improving Policies," Working Papers 2021-15, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    21. Mark A. Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Cristina Arellano, 2023. "Pareto Improving Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Samuelson in the New Keynesian Model," NBER Working Papers 31297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2022. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Economics Series Working Papers 995, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

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