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Kindleberger Cycles: Method in the madness of crowds?

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  • Randall Morck

Abstract

Corporate R&D has a social return far above its internal rate of return to the innovating corporation, and so is chronically underfunded from a social perspective. Kindleberger cycles, irregularly recurring stock market manias, panics, and crashes, prominent in financial history, are also a major problem for mainstream economics. If manias inundating “hot” new technologies with capital sufficiently counter chronic underinvestment in innovation, economy-level selection may favor institutions and behavioral norms conducive to Kindleberger cycles despite individual agents’ losses in panics and crashes.

Suggested Citation

  • Randall Morck, 2021. "Kindleberger Cycles: Method in the madness of crowds?," NBER Working Papers 28411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28411
    Note: CF
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    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w28411.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Ajello & Nina Boyarchenko & François Gourio & Andrea Tambalotti, 2022. "Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Theoretical Mechanisms," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-005, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G4 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance
    • N2 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • P1 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies

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