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Long-run Returns to Private Equity in Emerging Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Shawn Cole
  • Martin Melecky
  • Florian Mölders
  • Tristan Reed

Abstract

We provide the first evidence on the long-run returns to private equity in emerging and frontier markets using the cash flows from every equity investment made by the International Finance Corporation across 130 countries over 58 years. Risk-adjusted returns are comparable to the S&P 500, at least from 1961 until 2010. Returns improve with economic growth, but decline as banking systems deepen and countries relax capital controls. These results are consistent with the thesis that financial frictions have prevented the flow of capital from rich to poor countries, and that the persistence of impact investors’ performance may rely on identifying or creating new markets that lack access to capital.

Suggested Citation

  • Shawn Cole & Martin Melecky & Florian Mölders & Tristan Reed, 2020. "Long-run Returns to Private Equity in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27870, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27870
    Note: CF DEV
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    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w27870.pdf
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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