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Business Cycle Anatomy

Author

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  • George-Marios Angeletos
  • Fabrice Collard
  • Harris Dellas

Abstract

We propose a new strategy for dissecting the macroeconomic time series, provide a template for the business-cycle propagation mechanism that best describes the data, and use its properties to appraise models of both the parsimonious and the medium-scale variety. Our findings support the existence of a main business-cycle driver but rule out the following candidates for this role: technology or other shocks that map to TFP movements; news about future productivity; and inflationary demand shocks of the textbook type. Models aimed at accommodating demand-driven cycles without a strict reliance on nominal rigidity appear promising.

Suggested Citation

  • George-Marios Angeletos & Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2018. "Business Cycle Anatomy," NBER Working Papers 24875, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:24875
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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