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Trading Down and the Business Cycle

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  • Nir Jaimovich
  • Sergio Rebelo
  • Arlene Wong

Abstract

We document two facts. First, during the Great Recession, consumers traded down in the quality of the goods and services they consumed. Second, the production of low-quality goods is less labor intensive than that of high-quality goods. When households traded down, labor demand fell, increasing the severity of the recession. We find that the trading-down phenomenon accounts for a substantial fraction of the fall in U.S. employment in the recent recession. We show that embedding quality choice in a business-cycle model improves the model's amplification and comovement properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Nir Jaimovich & Sergio Rebelo & Arlene Wong, 2015. "Trading Down and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 21539, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:21539
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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