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Survey Evidence on Diffusion of Investment Among Institutional Investors

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  • Robert J. Shiller
  • John Pound

Abstract

Contagion or epidemic models of financial markets are proposed in which interest in or attention to individual stocks is spread by word of mouth. The models give alternative interpretations of the random walk character of stock prices. A questionnaire survey of institutional investors was undertaken to ascertain the relevance of such models. Questions elicited what fraction of these investors were unsystematic and allowed themselves to be influenced by word-of-mouth communications or other salient stimuli. Rough indications of the infection rate and removal rate were produced. Investors in stocks whose price had recently increased dramatically to a high P/E ratio were contrasted with a control group of investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert J. Shiller & John Pound, 1986. "Survey Evidence on Diffusion of Investment Among Institutional Investors," NBER Working Papers 1851, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1851
    Note: ME
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Basu, Sanjoy, 1983. "The relationship between earnings' yield, market value and return for NYSE common stocks : Further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 129-156, June.
    2. Richard P. Bagozzi & Alvin J. Silk, 1983. "Recall, Recognition, and the Measurement of Memory for Print Advertisements," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 95-134.
    3. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guillermo A. Calvo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2000. "Contagion, Globalization, and the Volatility of Capital Flows," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies, pages 15-41, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Garcia, Daniel, 2012. "Communication and Information Acquisition in Networks," MPRA Paper 55481, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Apr 2014.
    3. Scharfstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1990. "Herd Behavior and Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 465-479, June.
    4. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Mendoza, Enrique G., 2000. "Rational contagion and the globalization of securities markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 79-113, June.
    5. Sun, Rui & Guo, Junfei & Yu, Wensong, 2023. "Sponsor, institutional investor, and quotation behavior: Theory and evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 411-428.
    6. Li, Jie & Zhang, Yongjie & Wang, Lidan, 2021. "Information transmission between large shareholders and stock volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

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