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Inflation, Financial Development and Growth in Transition Countries

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  • Max Gillman
  • Mark N. Harris

Abstract

The paper presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries on inflation, financial development and growth. It contributes to the growth literature by showing that the transition countries conform to developed country evidence in particular with the strong negative effect of inflation on growth. It also contributes more evidence to the debate on the role of financial development. Once inflation and the investment rate are included in the model, a key measure of financial development no longer has a positive effect on growth, as some recent literature has found.

Suggested Citation

  • Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris, 2004. "Inflation, Financial Development and Growth in Transition Countries," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 23/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2004-23
    as

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    File URL: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/ebs/pubs/wpapers/2004/wp23-04.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gylfason, Thorvaldur & Herbertsson, Tryggvi Thor, 2001. "Does inflation matter for growth?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 405-428, December.
    2. Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris & László Mátyás, 2004. "Inflation and growth: Explaining a negative effect," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 149-167, January.
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    7. Paul Wachtel & Peter L. Rousseau, 2000. "Inflation, Financial Development and Growth," Working Papers 00-10, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    8. Robert G. King & Ross Levine, 1993. "Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(3), pages 717-737.
    9. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 48(1), pages 1-1.
    10. Ross Levine, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 688-726, June.
    11. Robert J. Barro, 2001. "Human Capital and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 12-17, May.
    12. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2004. "The Demand for Bank Reserves and Other Monetary Aggregates," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(3), pages 518-533, July.
    13. Amemiya, Takeshi & MaCurdy, Thomas E, 1986. "Instrumental-Variable Estimation of an Error-Components Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 54(4), pages 869-880, July.
    14. Levine, Ross, 1992. "Financial intermediary services and growth," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 383-405, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christophe Rault & Anamaria Sova & Robert Sova, 2014. "The finance–growth nexus: evidence from ten new EU members," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald & Peter Backé (ed.), Financial Cycles and the Real Economy, chapter 13, pages 217-234, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Anamaria Sova, 2009. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ten New EU Members," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 940, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Sifundo Ntokozo Dlamini & Lindokuhle Talent Zungu & Nomusa Yolanda Nkomo, 2023. "The Optimal Level of Financial Growth in View of a Nonlinear Macroprudential Policy Regime Model: A Bayesian Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-21, April.
    4. Milena Lipovina-Bozovic & Julija Cerovic Smolovic, 2016. "Evidence on Economic Growth and Financial Development in Montenegro," Management, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 11(4), pages 349-365.
    5. Dombi, Akos & Grigoriadis, Theocharis, 2017. "Ancestry, Diversity & Finance: Evidence from Transition Economies," Discussion Papers 2017/4, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    6. Mohammad Imdadul Haque, 2020. "The Growth of Private Sector and Financial Development in Saudi Arabia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-17, May.
    7. Hazem A. Marashdeh & Husam-Aldin N. Al-Malkawi, 2014. "Financial Deepening and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 13(2), pages 139-154, August.
    8. Michael A Stemmer, 2017. "Revisiting Finance and Growth in Transition Economies - A Panel Causality Approach," Post-Print halshs-01524462, HAL.
    9. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2007. "Inflation, Financial Development and Human Capital-Based Endogenous Growth: an Explanation of Ten Empirical Findings," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0703, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
    10. Polterovich, Victor, 2006. "Снижение Инфляции Не Должно Быть Главной Целью Экономической Политики Правительства России [Decreasing Inflation Should not Be the Main Task of the Russian Government Economic Policy]," MPRA Paper 22064, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transition; panel data; inflation; investment rate; financial depth; endogeneity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O42 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models

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