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Credit Aggregates, Countercyclical Buffer: stylised facts

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Abstract

The relationship between Credit to private sector, Growth and investment is in a first step evaluated empirically through Error Correction model (ECM), using Credit Level for various national economies. The more important results are the following: the quality of estimation results for the relationship between Investment (with a separate analysis for Business and Households) and Credit is much better than for the relationship between GDP and Credit and in most cases it's the Investment cycle that explains the Credit cycle. In addition, specific results for United States are given, replacing Credit Level data by Credit Flow data. In this case, both cycles drive each other for Business, whereas for Households, it's the investment cycle that drives the Credit cycle

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  • Didier Faivre, 2016. "Credit Aggregates, Countercyclical Buffer: stylised facts," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16014, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    • Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:16014
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Private Credit; Credit Cycle; Cointegration; Error Correction Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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