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Strukturelle ökonometrische Verfahren zur Analyse von Renteneintrittsentscheidungen

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  • Winter, Joachim

Abstract

Die umlagefinanzierte deutsche Rentenversicherung steht am Ausgang des 20. Jahrhunderts vor großen Problemen, die im wesentlichen aus der fortschreitenden Alterung der Bevölkerung resultieren: Immer weniger Erwerbstätige müssen immer mehr Rentner finanzieren. Eine fundierte Abschätzung der Auswirkungen verschiedener Reformvorschläge erfordert ein genaues Verständnis der Anreizwirkungen, die von den institutionellen Gegebenheiten eines Rentensystems auf die individuellen Renteneintrittsentscheidungen ausgehen. In diesem Beitrag stelle ich eine Reihe von ökonometrischen Verfahren vor, die zur Untersuchung von Renteneintrittsentscheidungen angewendet werden können. Der Schwerpunkt liegt auf der - aus methodischen Gründen zu bevorzugenden - strukturellen Schätzung von intertemporalen Optimierungsmodellen.

Suggested Citation

  • Winter, Joachim, 1999. "Strukturelle ökonometrische Verfahren zur Analyse von Renteneintrittsentscheidungen," Papers 99-03, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    • Handle: RePEc:mnh:spaper:2858
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    File URL: https://madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/2858/1/dp99_03.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Arnds, Pascal & Bonin, Holger, 2002. "Frühverrentung in Deutschland: Ökonomische Anreize und institutionelle Strukturen," IZA Discussion Papers 666, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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