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Systematic and Liquidity Risk in Subprime-Mortgage Backed SecuritiesM

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Flavin

    (Department of Economics Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland, Maynooth)

  • Gerald P. Dwyer

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, University of Carlos III, Madrid and CAMA)

  • Mardi Dungey

    (University of Tasmania, CFAP, University of Cambridge and CAMA)

Abstract

The misevaluation of risk in securitized financial products is central to understand- ing the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008. This paper characterizes the evolution of factors affecting collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) based on subprime mortgages. A key feature of subprime-mortgage backed indices is that they are distinct in their vintage of issuance. Using a latent factor framework that incorporates this vintage effect, we show the increasing importance of a common factor on more senior tranches during the crisis. We examine this common factor and its relationship with spreads. We estimate the effects on the common factor of the financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Flavin & Gerald P. Dwyer & Mardi Dungey, 2011. "Systematic and Liquidity Risk in Subprime-Mortgage Backed SecuritiesM," Economics Department Working Paper Series n219-11, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    • Handle: RePEc:may:mayecw:n219-11
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    Cited by:

    1. Flavin, Thomas J. & Sheenan, Lisa, 2015. "The role of U.S. subprime mortgage-backed assets in propagating the crisis: Contagion or interdependence?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 167-186.
    2. Mardi Dungey & Matteo Luciani & David Veredas, 2012. "Ranking Systemically Important Financial Institutions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-115/IV/DSF44, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Fredj Jawadi & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou & Nabila Jawadi, 2016. "Do Islamic and Conventional Banks Really Differ? A Panel Data Statistical Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 293-302, April.
    4. Sangyeon Hwang & Hyejoon Im, 2017. "International Trade Finance and Exports: Evidence from Korean Bank-Intermediated Trade Finance Instruments," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 319-346, April.
    5. Dungey, Mardi & Luciani, Matteo & Veredas, David, 2018. "Systemic risk in the US: Interconnectedness as a circuit breaker," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 305-315.
    6. Alessandro Flamini & Costas Milas, 2014. "Open-economy Distribution Forecast Targeting, Macroeconomic Volatility and Financial Implication," DEM Working Papers Series 080, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    7. Gianluca Marcato, 2018. "Liquidity Pricing of Illiquid Assets," ERES eres2018_215, European Real Estate Society (ERES).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset backed securities; subprime mortgages; financial crisis; factor mod-els; Kalman filter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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