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Les effets de l’équilibre budgétaire et du transfert canadien en santé sur les finances publiques du Québec

Author

Listed:
  • Nicholas-James Clavet
  • Guy Lacroix
  • Pierre-Carl Michaud
  • Alexandre Parent

Abstract

Using a simulation tool, we analyze four scenarios that allow to us to measure the effects over 20 years of 1) maintaining the budget balance for 4 years, and 2) a growth in the Canada Health Transfer (CHT) at its historical pace. In the reference scenario, which assumes structural expenditure growth rates consistent with the pre-budgetary rigour period and a CHT increasing at a slower pace than in the past, Quebec public expenditures should increase by G$166.6 by 2035, while revenue will only increase by G$106. Furthermore, a CHT growing at 6% annually would not be enough to meet budget balance and public debt objectives. Additional efforts to limit spending or enhance revenue will be required to meet these targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas-James Clavet & Guy Lacroix & Pierre-Carl Michaud & Alexandre Parent, 2016. "Les effets de l’équilibre budgétaire et du transfert canadien en santé sur les finances publiques du Québec," Cahiers de recherche 1608, Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques.
  • Handle: RePEc:lvl:criacr:1608
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Finances publiques; Québec; équilibre budgétaire; transfert canadien en santé.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

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