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Agent-Based Financial Modelling: A Promising Alternative to the Standard Representative-Agent Approach

Author

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  • Tomas Ramanauskas

    (Bank of Lithuania)

Abstract

In this paper we provide a brief introduction to the literature on agent-based financial modelling and, more specifically, artificial stock market modelling. In the selective literature review two broad categories of artificial stock market models are discussed: models based on hard-wired rules and models with learning and systemic adaptation. The paper discusses pros and cons of agent-based financial modelling as opposed to the standard representative-agent approach. We advocate the need for the proper account of market complexity, agent heterogeneity, bounded rationality and adaptive (though not simplistic) expectations in financial modelling. We also argue that intelligent adaptation in highly uncertain environment is key to understanding actual financial market behaviour and we resort to a specific area of artificial intelligence theory, namely reinforcement learning, as one plausible and economically appealing algorithm of adaptation and learning.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomas Ramanauskas, 2009. "Agent-Based Financial Modelling: A Promising Alternative to the Standard Representative-Agent Approach," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 3, Bank of Lithuania.
  • Handle: RePEc:lie:wpaper:3
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    File URL: https://www.lb.lt/en/publications/no-3-agent-based-financial-modelling-a-promising-alternative-to-the-standard-representative-agent-approach
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aleksandras Vytautas Rutkauskas & Tomas Ramanauskas, 2009. "Building an artificial stock market populated by reinforcementā€learning agents," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 329-341, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agent-based financial modelling; artificial stock market; complex dynamical system; market efficiency agent heterogeneity; reinforcement learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • Y20 - Miscellaneous Categories - - Introductions and Prefaces - - - Introductions and Prefaces

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