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Censo 2021 versus Padrón 2021 –¡Y algunas otras cuestiones censales!–

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco José Goerlich Gisbert

    (Ivie (Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas))

Abstract

While the Padrón is an administrative registry sub-ject to strict legal regulations, the census is a statistical estimate of the population that, although based on the Padrón, does not provide the same numerical results. This paper compares some demographic results of the 2021 census with the same variables of the Padrón at different geographical scales. For the first time since the census and Padron figures were decoupled after the establishment of the Padrón continuo at the end of the last century, both statistics coincide in reference date, allowing a comprehensive and accurate comparison.In addition to comparing the results for various classification variables at the national, Spanish Autonomous Community (CC. AA.), province and municipality levels, we also compare the resident population figures at the census section level, where we find striking differences in some cases.Finally, a relatively new census product is compared, the standardized population grid at European level, known as GEOSTAT. In this case, the comparison takes place between the grid of the last census 2021, with that of the previous census, 2011, which was the first time that the National Statistics Institute (INE) offered this product. Mientras que el Padrón es un registro administrativo sujeto a una estricta normativa legal, el censo constituye una estimación estadística de la población que, aunque basado en el Padrón, no proporciona los mismos resultados numéricos. Este trabajo compara algunos resultados demográficos del censo 2021 con las mismas variables del Padrón a diferentes escalas geográficas. Por primera vez desde que se desacoplaron las cifras censales y padronales tras el establecimiento del Padrón continuo a finales del siglo pasado ambas estadísticas son coincidentes en fecha de referencia, lo que permite una comparación exhaustiva y exacta.Además de comparar los resultados para diversas variables de clasificación a nivel nacional, de comunidad autónoma (CC. AA.), de provincia y de municipio, también se comparan las cifras de población residente a nivel de sección censal, donde se encuentran diferencias llamativas en algunos casos.Finalmente se compara un producto censal relativamente nuevo, la grid de población normalizada a nivel europeo, y conocida como GEOSTAT. En este caso la comparación tiene lugar entre la grid del último censo 2021, con la del censo anterior, 2011, que fue la primera vez en la que el Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) ofreció este producto.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco José Goerlich Gisbert, 2024. "Censo 2021 versus Padrón 2021 –¡Y algunas otras cuestiones censales!–," Working Papers Ivie 2024-01, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
  • Handle: RePEc:ivi:wpivie:2024-01
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    File URL: http://www.ivie.es/downloads/docs/wpivie/wpivie-2024-01.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Población; Censo; Padrón; Secciones Censales; Grids de población. Census; Population registry; Census Tracts; Popula-tion Grids.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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