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Flexibilização Fiscal: novas evidências e desafios

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  • Sérgio Wulff Gobetti
  • Rodrigo Octávio Orair

Abstract

Este Texto para Discussão tem por objetivo complementar as análises realizadas em Gobetti (2015), atualizando o diagnóstico da evolução dos resultados fiscais do setor público brasileiro. O trabalho utiliza a nova série de produto interno bruto (PIB) divulgada pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE), bem como estatísticas “acima da linha” que incorporam a esfera regional de governo. Adicionalmente, emprega diversos indicadores para caracterizar melhor a recente fase expansionista da política fiscal brasileira (2010-2014) em comparação com períodos anteriores. Por fim, analisa a sustentabilidade da trajetória da despesa pública em diferentes cenários. This discussion paper intends to complement the analyzes carried out in Gobetti (2015), updating the diagnosis of the development of fiscal balances of the Brazilian public sector from the new series of GDP released by IBGE and statistics “above the line” that incorporate regional level of government. Additionally, it uses several indicators to better characterize the recent expansion (or flexibility) phase of the Brazilian fiscal policy (2011-2014) compared to previous periods and, finally, analyzes the sustainability of public spending trajectory in different scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Sérgio Wulff Gobetti & Rodrigo Octávio Orair, 2015. "Flexibilização Fiscal: novas evidências e desafios," Discussion Papers 2132, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:2132
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Rugitsky, 2017. "The rise and fall of the Brazilian economy (2004-2015): the economic antimiracle," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_29, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).

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