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ALCA: Uma Estimativa do Impacto no Comércio Bilateral Brasil-Estados Unidos

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  • Honório Kume
  • Guida Piani

Abstract

Este trabalho procura quantificar o impacto da Área de Livre Comércio das Américas(Alca) no comércio bilateral Brasil-Estados Unidos com base em um modelo deequilíbrio parcial computável. O estudo efetua um levantamento detalhado dasrestrições não-tarifárias vigentes para cada produto e utiliza os respectivosequivalentes não-tarifários na estimação. Os resultados obtidos para o Brasil indicamuma variação de US$ 2,2 bilhões nas importações e de US$ 1,2 bilhão nasexportações. No aumento das vendas externas brasileiras, 43,3% são decorrentes daeliminação das barreiras não-tarifárias, instrumento protecionista de grande importânciana política comercial norte-americana. This paper aims to evaluate the impact on trade flows between Brazil and the UnitedStates after the accomplishment of the FTAA. The authors used a computable partialequilibrium model. A comprehensive investigation of the existing non-tariff barrierswas made and the tariff-equivalents were used in the estimations. The results forBrazil show an increase of US$ 2.2 billion in its imports from the United States andan increase of US$ 1.2 billion in its exports to that country. Almost half of the gainsfor Brazilian exports would be brought about by the elimination of the NorthAmerican non-tariff barriers, indicating their importance as a protectionist measureof trade policy in the USA.

Suggested Citation

  • Honório Kume & Guida Piani, 2004. "ALCA: Uma Estimativa do Impacto no Comércio Bilateral Brasil-Estados Unidos," Discussion Papers 1058, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1058
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marcel, Vaillant & Alvaro, Ons, 2003. "Winners and Losers in a Free Trade Area between the United States and MERCOSUR," MPRA Paper 47315, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2003.
    2. Bernard Hoekman & Francis Ng & Marcelo Olarreaga, 2002. "Eliminating Excessive Tariffs on Exports of Least Developed Countries," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 16(1), pages 1-21, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Almeida, Eduardo Simões de & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2010. "Is the truth out there? Avaliando as opções de integração econômica para o Brasil [Is the truth out there? Evaluating the economic integration options for Brazil]," MPRA Paper 54443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Honório Kume & Guida Piani & Pedro Miranda, 2005. "Índia-Mercosul: Perspectivas de um Acordo de Preferências Comerciais," Discussion Papers 1120, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    3. Curzel, Rosana & Silber, Simão Davi & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2007. "Argentina, Brasil e Uruguai: um estudo dos impactos regionais da ALCA [Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay: a study of the regional impacts of ALCA]," MPRA Paper 54502, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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