IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/inu/caeprp/2020005.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Cost of Dissolving the WTO: The Role of Global Value Chains

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmad Lashkaripour

    (Indiana University)

  • Mostafa Beshkar

    (Indiana University)

Abstract

As trade agreements face renewed pressure, we show that the rise of global value chains has multiplied the value of trade agreements to unprecedented levels. We cast our argument using a non-parametric neoclassical trade model that accommodates global input-output networks and nests a wide class of quantitative trade models as a special case. To guide our analysis, we derive analytic formulas for optimal non-cooperative trade taxes in this general framework. These formulas predict the extent of trade restriction if global trade agreements were to dissolve. Mapping these formulas to data, we quantify the value of trade agreements for various countries. We find that the disintegration of existing trade agreements will erase 30% of the overall gains from trade, which amounts to a $2.7 trillion loss in global GDP. Around 41% of this value is driven by the agreements’ facilitation of global value chains.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Lashkaripour & Mostafa Beshkar, 2020. "The Cost of Dissolving the WTO: The Role of Global Value Chains," CAEPR Working Papers 2020-005 Classification-, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    • Handle: RePEc:inu:caeprp:2020005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://caepr.indiana.edu/RePEc/inu/caeprp/caepr2020-005.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Beshkar, Mostafa & Lee, Ryan, 2022. "How does import market power matter for trade agreements?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. Peter Eppinger & Gabriel J. Felbermayr & Oliver Krebs & Bohdan Kukharskyy, 2021. "Decoupling Global Value Chains," CESifo Working Paper Series 9079, CESifo.
    3. Antrà s, Pol & Chor, Davin, 2021. "Global Value Chains," CEPR Discussion Papers 15908, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Traiberman, Sharon & Rotemberg, Martin, 2023. "Precautionary protectionism," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    5. Pol Antràs & Teresa C. Fort & Agustín Gutiérrez & Felix Tintelnot, 2022. "Trade Policy and Global Sourcing: An Efficiency Rationale for Tariff Escalation," NBER Working Papers 30225, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. ARA Tomohiro & Arpita CHATTERJEE & Arghya GHOSH & ZHANG Hongyong, 2019. "Input Tariff in Oligopoly: Entry, heterogeneity, and demand curvature," Discussion papers 19066, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Caliendo, Lorenzo & Feenstra, Robert C. & Romalis, John & Taylor, Alan M., 2023. "A second-best argument for low optimal tariffs on intermediate inputs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    8. Lorenzo Caliendo & Robert C. Feenstra & John Romalis & Alan M. Taylor, 2023. "Tariff Reductions, Heterogeneous Firms, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for 1990–2010," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(4), pages 817-851, December.
    9. Lashkaripour, Ahmad, 2021. "The cost of a global tariff war: A sufficient statistics approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inu:caeprp:2020005. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/caeprus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.