IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ind/igiwpp/2019-008.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

What Explains the Volatility of India's Catch-up Growth?

Author

Listed:
  • Ashima Goyal

    (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research
    Institute of Economic Growth)

Abstract

Indian post reform growth rates have been higher but more volatile compared to transition periods forother comparable countries. The reasons are aggravation of shocks due to unaddressed criticalbottlenecks together with pro-cyclical macroeconomic policy that compressed aggregate demand.Reform is required to relieve constraints, but traditional reforms may be neither appropriate norachievable. Feasible reforms are discussed. Since diversity and resilience has increased and someconstraints have eased, the paper argues sustained high growth is reachable with the relevant policy support.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashima Goyal, 2019. "What Explains the Volatility of India's Catch-up Growth?," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-008, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    • Handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2019-008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.igidr.ac.in/pdf/publication/WP-2019-008.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ashima Goyal, 2014. "Purchasing Power Parity, Wages and Inflation in Emerging Markets," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 49(4), pages 327-347, November.
    2. Ashima Goyal, 2018. "The Indian fiscal-monetary framework: Dominance or coordination?," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2018-010, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    3. Commission on Growth and Development, 2008. "The Growth Report : Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6507.
    4. Ashima Goyal, 2018. "Indian Banks and the Prevention of Corruption Act: Freedom and Discipline," Working Papers id:12944, eSocialSciences.
    5. Corbo, Vittorio & Fischer, Stanley, 1995. "Structural adjustment, stabilization and policy reform: Domestic and international finance," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Hollis Chenery & T.N. Srinivasan (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 44, pages 2845-2924, Elsevier.
    6. Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2018. "Energy Price Reform in China," ESP: Energy Scenarios and Policy 273368, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    7. Ashima Goyal, 2013. "Sustaining growth: Interests versus institutions," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2013-001, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    8. Goyal, Ashima, 2018. "The Indian Fiscal-Monetary Framework: Dominance or Coordination?," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ashima Goyal, 2019. "What Explains the Volatility of India’s Catch-up Growth?," Working Papers id:13026, eSocialSciences.
    2. Ashima Goyal, 2021. "What does the COVID-19 experience tell us about Indian growth drivers?," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-025, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    3. Goyal, Ashima & Parab, Prashant, 2021. "What influences aggregate inflation expectations of households in India?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Nandi, Aurodeep, 2019. "Fiscal deficit targeting alongside flexible inflation targeting: India’s fiscal policy transmission," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-18.
    5. Ashima Goyal, 2020. "Post Covid-19: recovering and sustaining India’s growth," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 161-181, November.
    6. Williams, Joycelyn, 2012. "Beyond Macroeconomic Stability: The Role of Selective Interventions in Guyana’s Growth," MPRA Paper 42755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Quibria, M.G., 2020. "Poverty and Policy in the Developing World: Before and After the Pandemic," MPRA Paper 104240, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Oct 2020.
    8. Jong‐Wha Lee & Changyong Rhee, 2002. "Macroeconomic Impacts of the Korean Financial Crisis: Comparison with the Cross‐country Patterns," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 539-562, April.
    9. Choi, Ki-Hong & Oh, Wankeun, 2014. "Extended Divisia index decomposition of changes in energy intensity: A case of Korean manufacturing industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 275-283.
    10. Montek S. Ahluwalia, 2015. "Role of economists in policy-making," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-144, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Lant Pritchett & Erik Werker, 2012. "Developing the guts of a GUT (Grand Unified Theory): elite commitment and inclusive growth," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-016-12, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    12. Montfort Mlachila & René Tapsoba & Sampawende J. A. Tapsoba, 2017. "A Quality of Growth Index for Developing Countries: A Proposal," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(2), pages 675-710, November.
    13. Asongu, Simplice & Nwachukwu, Jacinta C., 2016. "Welfare Spending and Quality of Growth in Developing Countries: A Note on Evidence from Hopefuls, Contenders and Best Performers," MPRA Paper 75047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Dani Rodrik, 2010. "Diagnostics before Prescription," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 24(3), pages 33-44, Summer.
    15. Moller, Lars Christian & Wacker, Konstantin M., 2017. "Explaining Ethiopia’s Growth Acceleration—The Role of Infrastructure and Macroeconomic Policy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 198-215.
    16. Ravi Kanbur & Ganesh Rauniyar, 2010. "Conceptualizing inclusive development: with applications to rural infrastructure and development assistance," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 437-454.
    17. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi, 2021. "Catching The Drivers of Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Application of Machine Learning," EconStor Preprints 235482, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    18. Justin Yifu Lin, 2013. "Demystifying the Chinese Economy," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 46(3), pages 259-268, September.
    19. Poonam Gupta & Abhinav Tyagi, 2022. "Slowdown of the Indian Economy during 2019-20: An Enigma or an Anomaly," NCAER Working Papers 137, National Council of Applied Economic Research.
    20. repec:ilo:ilowps:486556 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Simplice A. Asongu & Ivo J. Leke, 2019. "External flows and inclusive human development in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Happiness and Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 33-56.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    India; growth; volatility; resilience; reforms; shocks; pro-cyclical;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H77 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2019-008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shamprasad M. Pujar (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/igidrin.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.