IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2024-263.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of US-China Trade Tensions

Author

Listed:
  • Lorenzo Rotunno
  • Sanchari Roy
  • Anri Sakakibara
  • Pierre-Louis Vezina

Abstract

We use the US-China tariffs of 2018-19 as an exogenous shock to export opportunities in Vietnam to identify how trade policy affects job creation. Using a difference-in-differences framework, we first show that US tariffs on China increased the range of products exported by Vietnam to the US in the two years after the hikes. We then show using firm level data that this expansion in export opportunities led to job creation. Around 5% extra jobs were created in firms hit with average tariffs above 15%. Results point towards this effect being driven mostly by female employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenzo Rotunno & Sanchari Roy & Anri Sakakibara & Pierre-Louis Vezina, 2024. "Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of US-China Trade Tensions," IMF Working Papers 2024/263, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2024/263
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=559698
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2024/263. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.