IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2023-243.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Monetary Policy Design with Recurrent Climate Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Vimal V Thakoor
  • Engin Kara

Abstract

As climate change intensifies, the frequency and severity of climate-induced disasters are expected to escalate. We develop a New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model to analyze the impact of these events on monetary policy. Our model conceptualizes these disasters as left-tail productivity shocks with a quantified likelihood, leading to a skewed distribution of outcomes. This creates a significant trade-off for central banks, balancing increased inflation risks against reduced output. Our results suggest modifying the Taylor rule to give equal weight to responses to both inflation and output growth, indicating a gradual approach to climateexacerbated economic fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Vimal V Thakoor & Engin Kara, 2023. "Monetary Policy Design with Recurrent Climate Shocks," IMF Working Papers 2023/243, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2023/243
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=541778
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yao, Haixiang & Zhang, Weixuan & Wu, Zhouheng, 2024. "Monetary policy rule under rare events: With implications by digital finance development," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; monetary policy; fiscal policy; Taylor rule; inflation coefficient; skewness curve; monetary policy design; output stability; inflation response; inflation stabilization; Inflation targeting; Inflation; Productivity;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2023/243. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.