IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2020-253.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Energy, Efficiency Gains and Economic Development: When Will Global Energy Demand Saturate?

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Christian Bogmans
  • Lama Kiyasseh
  • Mr. Akito Matsumoto
  • Mr. Andrea Pescatori

Abstract

Not anytime soon. Using a novel dataset covering 127 countries and spanning two centuries, we find evidence for an energy Kuznets curve, with an initial decline of energy demand at low levels of per capita income followed by stages of acceleration and then saturation at high-income levels. Historical trends in energy efficiency have reduced energy demand, globally, by about 1.2 percent per year and have, thus, helped bring forward a plateau in energy demand for high income countries. At middle incomes energy and income move in lockstep. The decline in the manufacturing share of value added, globally, accounted for about 0.2 percentage points of the energy efficiency gains. At the country level, the decline (rise) of the manufacturing sector has reduced (increased) US (China) energy demand by 4.1 (10.7) percent between 1990 and 2017.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Christian Bogmans & Lama Kiyasseh & Mr. Akito Matsumoto & Mr. Andrea Pescatori, 2020. "Energy, Efficiency Gains and Economic Development: When Will Global Energy Demand Saturate?," IMF Working Papers 2020/253, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/253
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=49889
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jingfeng Zhao & Fan Sun, 2023. "Study on the Influence Mechanism and Adjustment Path of Climate Risk on China’s High-Quality Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Ramanauske, Neringa & Balezentis, Tomas & Streimikiene, Dalia, 2023. "Biomass use and its implications for bioeconomy development: A resource efficiency perspective for the European countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    3. George Halkos & Kyriaki Tsilika, 2021. "Visual Exploration of Energy Use in EU 28: Dynamics, Patterns, Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-24, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/253. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.