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Tunisia Monetary Policy Since the Arab Spring: The Fall of the Exchange Rate Anchor and Rise of Inflation Targeting

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  • Mr. Nicolas End
  • Mariam El Hamiani Khatat
  • Rym Kolsi

Abstract

In this paper, we argue that inflation targeting could be the future of Tunisia’s monetary policy. Monetary targeting has proven to be ineffective due to the composition of reserve money, structural liquidity deficit, and higher instability of the money multiplier after 2010. Exchange rate targeting is no longer feasible due to the level of international reserves, current account deficit, and inflation differentials with main trading partners. The Central Bank of Tunisia has already made important progress toward inflation targeting. The paper evidences the existence of increasingly effective interest rate transmission as well as the changing exchange rate passthrough to inflation with the gradual move toward further exchange rate flexibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Nicolas End & Mariam El Hamiani Khatat & Rym Kolsi, 2020. "Tunisia Monetary Policy Since the Arab Spring: The Fall of the Exchange Rate Anchor and Rise of Inflation Targeting," IMF Working Papers 2020/167, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/167
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Mimoun, Mohamed & Boukhatem, Jamel & Raies, Asma, 2024. "Aggregate demand and inflation response to monetary policy shocks in Tunisia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 592-612.
    2. Jeguirim, Khaled & Ben Salem, Leila, 2024. "Unveiling extreme dependencies between oil price shocks and inflation in Tunisia: Insights from a copula dcc garch approach," MPRA Paper 121616, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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