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Growth Breaks and Growth Spells in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco Arizala
  • Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia
  • Mr. Charalambos G Tsangarides
  • Mustafa Yenice

Abstract

This paper examines the growth performance of sub-Saharan African countries since 1960 through the lens of growth turning points (accelerations and decelerations) and periods of sustained growth (growth spells). Growth accelerations are generally associated with improved external conditions, increased investment and trade openness, declines in inflation, better fiscal balances, and improvements in the institutional environment. Transitioning from growth accelerations to growth spells often requires additional efforts beyond what is needed to trigger an acceleration. Growth spells are sustained by fiscal policy that prevents excessive public debt accumulation, monetary policy geared toward low inflation, outward-oriented trade policies, and structural policies that reduce market distortions, as well as supportive external environment and improvements in democratic institutions. Overall, determinants of growth spells in sub-Saharan Africa are different from those in the rest of the emerging and developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Arizala & Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia & Mr. Charalambos G Tsangarides & Mustafa Yenice, 2017. "Growth Breaks and Growth Spells in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 2017/202, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/202
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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=45067
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    Cited by:

    1. Jakob de Haan & Kersten Stamm & Shu Yu, 2024. "Drivers of Investment Accelerations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11100, CESifo.
    2. Vinish Kathuria & Rajesh Raj Natarajan, 2022. "What Role Has Structural Change Played in Growth Accelerations for the Indian States? An Analysis for Pre- and Post-liberalization Periods," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 23(1), pages 61-85, March.

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