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Macroprudential Policy Spillovers: A Quantitative Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Heedon Kang
  • Mr. Francis Vitek
  • Ms. Rina Bhattacharya
  • Mr. Phakawa Jeasakul
  • Ms. Sònia Muñoz
  • Naixi Wang
  • Rasool Zandvakil

Abstract

This paper analyzes cross-border macrofinancial spillovers from a variety of macroprudential policy measures, using a range of quantitative methods. Event study and panel regression analyses find that liquidity and sectoral macroprudential policy measures often affect cross-border bank credit, whereas capital measures do not. This empirical evidence is stronger for tightening than for loosening measures, is distributed across credit leakage and reallocation effects, and is generally regionally concentrated. Consistently, structural model based simulation analysis indicates that output and bank credit spillovers from sectoral macroprudential policy shocks are generally small worldwide, but are regionally concentrated and economically significant for countries connected by strong trade or financial linkages. This simulation analysis also indicates that countercyclical capital buffer adjustments have the potential to generate sizeable regional spillovers.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Heedon Kang & Mr. Francis Vitek & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya & Mr. Phakawa Jeasakul & Ms. Sònia Muñoz & Naixi Wang & Rasool Zandvakil, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy Spillovers: A Quantitative Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2017/170, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/170
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti & Haonan Zhou, 2018. "Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures," IMF Working Papers 2018/217, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Chunil Kim & Jinsoo Ko, 2023. "Unintended Consequences of Housing Policies: Evidence from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, February.
    3. Badarau, Cristina & Carias, Marcos & Figuet, Jean-Marc, 2020. "Cross-border spillovers of macroprudential policy in the Euro area," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Ahnert, Toni & Forbes, Kristin & Friedrich, Christian & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2021. "Macroprudential FX regulations: Shifting the snowbanks of FX vulnerability?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 145-174.
    5. Buesa, Alejandro & De Quinto, Alicia & Población, Javier, 2022. "Risky mortgages, credit shocks and cross-border spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 717-733.
    6. Ms. Juliana Dutra Araujo & Manasa Patnam & Ms. Adina Popescu & Mr. Fabian Valencia & Weijia Yao, 2020. "Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates," IMF Working Papers 2020/067, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Pierre‐Richard Agénor & Timothy P. Jackson & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2023. "Global banking, financial spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(359), pages 1003-1040, July.
    8. Mr. Seung M Choi & Ms. Laura E. Kodres & Jing Lu, 2018. "Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises, and “Coordinated” Macroprudential Policies," IMF Working Papers 2018/009, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Malmierca, María, 2021. "International financial positions and macroprudential policy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1034-1062.
    10. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    11. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2021. "Does Macroprudential Policy Leak? Evidence from Non-Bank Credit Intermediation in EU Countries," Working Papers 2021/5, Czech National Bank.
    12. Mikhail I. Stolbov & Maria A. Shchepeleva & Alexander M. Karminsky, 2021. "A global perspective on macroprudential policy interaction with systemic risk, real economic activity, and monetary intervention," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, December.
    13. Vítor Martins & Alessandro Turrini & Bořek Vašíček & Madalina Zamfir, 2021. "Euro Area Housing Markets: Trends, Challenges and Policy Responses," European Economy - Discussion Papers 147, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    14. Herzberg, Valerie & McQuade, Peter, 2018. "International bank flows and bank business models since the crisis," Financial Stability Notes 05-18, Central Bank of Ireland.

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