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Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

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  • Mr. Francis Vitek

Abstract

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, macroprudential policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary, fiscal and macroprudential transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Francis Vitek, 2015. "Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," IMF Working Papers 2015/227, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/227
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro & Moore, John, 1997. "Credit Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(2), pages 211-248, April.
    2. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 2005. "Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 1-45, February.
    3. Erceg, Christopher J. & Henderson, Dale W. & Levin, Andrew T., 2000. "Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-313, October.
    4. Andrea Gerali & Stefano Neri & Luca Sessa & Federico M. Signoretti, 2010. "Credit and Banking in a DSGE Model of the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(s1), pages 107-141, September.
    5. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    6. Mr. Francis Vitek, 2014. "Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," IMF Working Papers 2014/200, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mr. Francis Vitek, 2013. "Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," IMF Working Papers 2013/253, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Tobin, James, 1969. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, February.
    9. Hülsewig, Oliver & Mayer, Eric & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2009. "Bank behavior, incomplete interest rate pass-through, and the cost channel of monetary policy transmission," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1310-1327, November.
    10. Frank Smets & Raf Wouters, 2003. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1123-1175, September.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Ireland: Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Stress Testing the Banking System," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/315, International Monetary Fund.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2018. "Brazil: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note on Stress Testing and Systemic Risk Analysis," IMF Staff Country Reports 2018/344, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2020. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: Tales from 1001 shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Luxembourg: Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Risk Analysis," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/261, International Monetary Fund.
    5. repec:cuf:journl:y:2017:v:18:i:1:dinghuang is not listed on IDEAS
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Japan: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Systemic Risk Analysis and Stress Testing the Financial Sector," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/285, International Monetary Fund.
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2017. "Finland: Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Stress Testing the Banking System and Interconnectedness Analysis," IMF Staff Country Reports 2017/006, International Monetary Fund.
    8. International Monetary Fund, 2019. "Singapore: Financial Sector Assessment Program; Technical Note-Financial Stability Analysis and Stress Testing," IMF Staff Country Reports 2019/228, International Monetary Fund.

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