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Assessing the Determinants of Interest Rate Transmission Through Conditional Impulse Response Functions

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  • Christian Saborowski
  • Mr. Sebastian Weber

Abstract

We employ a structural panel VAR model with interaction terms to identify determinants of effective transmission from central bank policy rates to retail lending rates in a large country sample. The framework allows deriving country specific pass-through estimates broken down into the contributions of structural country characteristics and policies. The findings suggest that industrial economies tend to enjoy a higher pass-through largely on account of their more flexible exchange rate regimes and their more developed financial systems. The average pass-through in our sample increased from 30 to 60 percent between 2003 and 2008, mainly due to positive risk sentiment, rising inflation and increasingly diversified banking sectors. The crisis reversed this trend partly as banks increased precautionary liquidity holdings, non-performing loans proliferated and inflation moderated.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Saborowski & Mr. Sebastian Weber, 2013. "Assessing the Determinants of Interest Rate Transmission Through Conditional Impulse Response Functions," IMF Working Papers 2013/023, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/023
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    8. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Paraguay: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/061, International Monetary Fund.
    9. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Angola: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/302, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Charles Abuka & Ronnie K Alinda & Ms. Camelia Minoiu & José-Luis Peydró & Mr. Andrea F Presbitero, 2015. "Monetary Policy in a Developing Country: Loan Applications and Real Effects," IMF Working Papers 2015/270, International Monetary Fund.
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    17. Perera, Anil & Wickramanayake, J., 2016. "Determinants of commercial bank retail interest rate adjustments: Evidence from a panel data model," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-20.
    18. Sargsyan Hayk, 2016. "Determinants of Monetary Transmission in Armenia," EERC Working Paper Series 16/02e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    19. Marie-Pierre Hory, 2016. "Fiscal multipliers in Emerging Market Economies: Can we learn something from Advanced Economies?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 59-84.
    20. Simon, Carl Nally Regi, 2017. "Les canaux de transmission de la politique monetaire en Haiti: une approche narrative (1996-2016) [Monetary transmission channels in Haiti: a narrative approach (1996-2016)]," MPRA Paper 78294, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Barrot, Luis-Diego & Calderón, César & Servén, Luis, 2018. "Openness, specialization, and the external vulnerability of developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 310-328.
    22. Richard Kwabi Ayisi, 2022. "Does informal banking influence monetary policy transmission? Some empirical evidence for Ghana," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2345-2355, April.
    23. Egorov, Aleksei V. (Егоров, Алексей В.) & Borzykh, Olga A. (Борзых, Ольга А.), 2018. "Asymmetric Interest Rate Pass-Through in Russia [Асимметрия Процентного Канала Денежной Трансмиссии В России]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 92-121, February.
    24. harraou, Khalid, 2019. "Analyse du pass-through du taux d’intérêt au Maroc [Analysis of the interest rate in Morocco]," MPRA Paper 94968, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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