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Does G-4 Liquidity Spill Over?

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  • Ms. L. Effie Psalida
  • Tao Sun

Abstract

The resumption of strong capital flows into emerging markets in mid-2009 brought back the debate over whether pull or push factors are the main determinants. This paper, using panel specifications with alternative measures of global liquidity, asks the question whether G-4 liquidity expansion spills over to the rest of the world. The paper finds strong positive links between G-4 liquidity expansion and asset prices, such as equities, in the liquidity receiving economies, which indicates that the push factor plays an important role in asset prices. Liquidity also has a strong positive link with the accumulation of official reserves and with equity portfolio inflows in receiving economies. Moreover, the association between excess equity returns, excess credit growth, and global liquidity has implications for rising risks to financial stability in the receiving economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. L. Effie Psalida & Tao Sun, 2011. "Does G-4 Liquidity Spill Over?," IMF Working Papers 2011/237, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/237
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    Cited by:

    1. Mahjus Ekananda & Tulus Suryanto, 2021. "The Influence of Global Financial Liquidity on the Indonesian Economy: Dynamic Analysis with Threshold VAR," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, October.
    2. N. V. Gushcha, 2017. "Imbalance Of Financial Systems Of East Asian Region, Driven ВУ Global Liquidity Flows," International Trade and Trade Policy, ФГБОУ ВО "Ð Ð¾Ñ Ñ Ð¸Ð¹Ñ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸Ñ‡ÐµÑ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑƒÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑ€Ñ Ð¸Ñ‚ÐµÑ‚ им. Г.Ð’. Плеханова", issue 3.
    3. Brana, Sophie & Prat, Stéphanie, 2016. "The effects of global excess liquidity on emerging stock market returns: Evidence from a panel threshold model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 26-34.
    4. Choi, Woon Gyu & Kang, Taesu & Kim, Geun-Young & Lee, Byongju, 2017. "Global liquidity transmission to emerging market economies, and their policy responses," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 153-166.
    5. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Jamela Hoveni, 2013. "Volatility Spillovers between the Equity Market and Foreign Exchange Market in South Africa in the 1995-2010 Period," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(2), pages 260-274, June.
    6. Nady Rapelanoro, 2016. "Spillover effects of global liquiditys expansion on emerging countries: evidences from a Panel VAR approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2016-17, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    7. Nady Rapelanoro, 2016. "Spillover effects of global liquidity’s expansion on emerging countries: evidences from a Panel VAR approach," Working Papers hal-04141593, HAL.
    8. Valls Pereira, Pedro L. & da Silva Fonseca, Marcelo Gonçalves, 2012. "Credit Shocks and Monetary Policy in Brazil: A Structural Favar Approach," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 32(2), April.
    9. Aquiles Arrieta Barcasnegras, 2012. "La relación entre los flujos de capital y el precio de la vivienda: el caso colombiano," Revista de Economía del Caribe 10854, Universidad del Norte.
    10. Adriana Soares Sales & João Barata Ribeiro Blanco Barroso, 2012. "Coping with a Complex Global Environment: a Brazilian perspective on emerging market issues," Working Papers Series 292, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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